Date: 2 months ago   Category: Economy

The NBU sounded conditions of decrease in discount rate


Decrease in discount rate of the National Bank of Ukraine has to happen further deliberately and gradually, only during the easing of inflationary risks and decrease of the inflation rate to the purpose on the predicted trajectory.

is told About it in the excerpt from the protocol of the last meeting of Committee of the NBU on monetary policy published on the regulator website according to which eight of nine attendees at a meeting of members of the committee supported need of preservation of discount rate at the level of 18% per annum.

the Main internal risk in the NBU called the uncertainty connected with electoral process which can worsen inflationary expectations. Besides, fundamental inflationary pressure remains essential owing to steady expansion of consumer demand under the influence of growth of the salaries. Also in the NBU called relevant external risks, including risk of deterioration in terms of trade for the Ukrainian exporters because of cooling of world economy and falling of the world prices, geopolitical risks, uncertainty on volumes of transit of gas through Ukraine since 2020.

"In case of strengthening of fundamental inflationary pressure and realization of risks for decrease of the inflation rate to the purpose National bank can resort to increase in discount rate", - it is noted in the document.

At the same time, members of the committee noted a number of the positive factors giving the grounds to discuss mitigation of monetary policy further, including reduction of risk of macrofinancial stability thanks to the new program with the International Monetary Fund, a favorable situation in the foreign exchange market and renewal of interest of foreign investors in the Ukrainian state securities, reduction of prices of the imported energy resources.

the National bank in January decided to keep discount rate at the level of 18% per annum the third time in a row - after the similar decision in October and in December, 2018.

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