Date: 4 months ago   Category: Politics

The American journalist has predicted creation of Asian NATO without Russia against China


The American journalist Michael Baume in the blog on the website of Echo of Moscow has told about a problem of the growing military capacity of China and has proposed the solution for maintaining parity in the region.

according to the Stockholm institute of a research of problems of the world which are given by Baume, of the People's Republic of China takes now the second place on the volume of a defense expenditure after the USA ($228 billion a year) that makes 1,9% of GDP of Celestial Empire. According to the journalist, in the next 5-10 years this value will grow to 3% of GDP (or to $600 billion a year). It will allow the People's Republic of China to catch up on quality of arms of the USA and the Russian Federation whereas on number of the servicemen army of China - already the most numerous in the world.

has put Such order, Baume continues, can't but disturb as Russia having the general border with Celestial Empire about 4 thousand km long, and the USA, traditionally applying for military superiority in the world. For the Russian Federation the special problem consists that she can't have intermediate-range and short-range missiles (according to the contract INF Treaty), and their China has more than 2 thousand. In case of open opposition they will be directed towards the Russian borders. the Journalist has offered

for the solution of "the Chinese problem" to create military alliance in the region which he called "Asian NATO". That there was no war between China and the USA (and their allies), it is necessary, in my opinion, that the USA has created certain "Asian NATO". Except the USA, this alliance has to include Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Guam (which is already the overseas territory of the USA), Philippines, Singapore, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Cambodia, Australia and New Zealand. He also notes importance of membership of Taiwan in this organization and doesn't exclude potential accession of India to her. At the same time, according to him, participation in military alliance doesn't mean the hostile relation and doesn't exclude good economic relations with Beijing. He has cited the relations of Germany, the member of NATO, and Russia as an example. So if NATO is the transatlantic union, then the new defensive alliance which is based on collective protection against the growing threats of China can become the trans-Asiatic union. It "Asian NATO" can really constrain Beijing and prevent war not only between China and the USA, but also between China and other members of this alliance. Baume hasn't excluded also membership in this hypothetical organization of Russia, however it is convinced that Moscow won't take such step.

"Russia considers that the real great powers have to create the alliances, but not enter in others - and especially into that alliance where the USA dominates... So, it is possible to assume that there will be no place for the Russian Federation in estimated "Asian NATO". As a result Moscow will remain one from the native CSTO - together with five partners: Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. It is unlikely these allies on the CSTO effectively will help Russia to be protected from future Chinese threats", - Michael Baume has concluded.

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