Date: 4 months ago   Category: Politics

Russia uses Libya for blackmail


Recently there was extremely interesting information which repeatedly emerged before in less official sources, that Russia intends to render to Libya the military aid similar to Syria. In fact, to stake out one more sandy dune, "sacral" for each Russian.

However remains open a question: for the present without having placed all points over "i" in Syria, how expediently to the Kremlin to go to the Libyan Desert?

Strangely enough, but the first that occurs to rather this expediency - it is oil. In principle, in no small measure this factor played an important role and at the Syrian campaign, will play and in this case. And, taking into account that Libya is the exporter of black gold, Russia can not only start feelers in oil-extracting and oil processing branches of the country, but also exert direct impact on export.

However is also one more factor which suits the Kremlin in implementation of its geopolitical plans. The speech in this case goes about a factor of social and public instability in the region and big risk of humanitarian crisis. Crisis which can arise as a result of escalation of the conflict within the country that will lead to a flow of refugees from Libya to the EU. And if from Syria the flow of refugees passed through Turkey which the EU financially helped to contain refugee camps, thereby avoiding a full-scale work involving all hands, then with Libya threat, as they say, direct and obvious.

the northeast coast of Libya is Today under Khalifa Haftar's control while about 70 percent of the territory of the country are under control of a militia, the tribes and other groups which are not submitting to the field marshal. If in Libya implementation of the joint plan of Haftar and the Kremlin according to the Syrian scenario begins, then hundreds of thousands of refugees of the EU are provided, and it is a destabilization factor already in Europe, extremely sharply recently reacting to representatives of the Middle East and African region.

I here, taking into account a possible profit on oil resources of Libya, and also destabilizations in the EU, up to direct blackmail by humanitarian crisis whether Russia will miss the chance "to drop an anchor" in Libya? More than it is sure that is not present, and therefore, the new round of confrontation to the accompaniment of Aerospace forces and the Private military company to the world not to avoid.

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