Date: 7 months ago   Category: Incidents

Portnikov about aggression of the Russian Federation against Ukraine: The West, using Putin's miscalculations, develops Russia in the right negotiation direction


Expansion of a Norman format to the Kerch Strait can become a prelude of its expansion on the territory of the Crimea, the political analyst Vitaly Portnikov considers. According to him, it is promoted by miscalculations of the Russian President Vladimir Putin.

the Offer of the West discuss in a Norman format hijacking of the Ukrainian ships by Russia near the Kerch Strait can become the beginning of "capitulation" of the Russian Federation in Ukraine. Such opinion in Telegram was expressed by the political analyst Vitaly Portnikov.

"If Russia really agrees to discussion of the Kerch crisis in a Norman format, it will become one of the most serious defeats of its diplomacy in recent years. The Norman format is a format of settlement of crisis in Ukraine. Russia does not recognize itself as party of the conflict, its participation is explained only by certain "influence" on "the risen miners" and aspiration "to protect the Russian-speaking population". But in the Kerch crisis there are no miners, and there are Navies of Russia", - he wrote.

according to the observer, Russia "brags" of hijacking of the ships and seamen, and "in permission of consequences of this act Russia even in own eyes the intermediary cannot be, and can be exclusive party of the conflict".

"Besides expansion of a Norman format to the Kerch Strait can become a prelude of its expansion actually on the territory of the Crimea, on recognition of conflict potential by Russia which is put in the fact of occupation of this Ukrainian territory. And if the fate that recovery of international law and refusal of the Crimea is one of the main requirements of the American side, one may say, that the West - using miscalculations [Russian President Vladimir] of Putin - just develops Russia in the right negotiation direction and creates the platform for future capitulation of Moscow before obvious winners not in "cold", so in "hybrid" war any more", - Portnikov noted.

the Military conflict between Ukraine and the Russian Federation began in April, 2014 and was aggravated after on November 25, 2018 the Russian Federation fired and seized in the Black Sea boats of the Ukrainian Naval Forces Berdyansk and Nikopol and also the tow of "Yana Kapu" which were going to pass through the Kerch Strait to the Sea of Azov. Since November 26 in 10 areas of Ukraine imposed martial law.

From 24 captured Ukrainians three were wounded. All of them are arrested and now are in the Moscow pre-trial detention centers. According to the representative of the Verkhovna Rada for human rights Lyudmila Denisova, 21 Ukrainian seamen contain in Lefortovo, three more wounded - in medical division of Matrosskaya Tishina.

Negotiations on settlement of the conflict between the countries are conducted in a format of tripartite contact group and at the level of "Norman Quartet" - Russia, Ukraine, Germany and France.

the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko said that Kiev is ready to a meeting in a Norman format at the level of political advisers for de-escalation of the situation which arose because of capture of the Russian Federation of the Ukrainian ships and seamen.

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